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2024-12-13 05:26:50
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EU leaders called on Germany to lift the borrowing ceiling to protect the economy.German Finance Minister: The German government is optimistic that European fiscal rules will be properly implemented.Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this is likely to mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened.


EU leaders called on Germany to lift the borrowing ceiling to protect the economy.The main contract of Shanghai Bank expanded to 2.00% in the day, and it is now reported at 7933.00 yuan/kg.The British Chancellor of the Exchequer called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain. It is reported that during his landmark visit to Brussels, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain in order to promote economic growth. She said that in view of the fact that both Britain and the European Union are "struggling" in terms of economic growth, her goal is to persuade finance ministers of various countries to improve their post-Brexit relations. She said: "The first task of this government is to develop the economy ... and see the improvement of people's living standards. The fact is that these unnecessary trade barriers will lead to a decline in living standards and make it more difficult for British companies to be competitive on the global stage. " She added: "We all want to see our economy grow faster and be more competitive in the world ... One way to achieve this goal is to reduce some trade barriers. This is one of the arguments I will put forward when I meet my European counterparts today. "


The Syrian opposition authorized Mohamed Al-Bashir to form a transitional government. According to pro-Syrian opposition media reports on the 9th, the opposition authorized Mohamed Al-Bashir, the "Government of Saving the Country in Syria", to form a transitional government in Syria. The "Syrian Government for Salvation" was established by the Syrian opposition, with Bashir as its prime minister. (Xinhua News Agency)The Great Wall Fund with "Moderately Loose" Monetary Policy: It is expected to open up space for the downward trend of bond interest rates. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9. The meeting pointed out that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. The Great Wall Fund said that based on the "moderate easing" of monetary policy next year, the downside of bond interest rates is expected to be further opened, optimistic about the bond market in the coming year; At the same time, with the coming of the New Year's market, the bond interest rate may further decline in the context of loose liquidity and the entry of insurance funds.Caitong Securities: It is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to Chen Xing, the macro chief analyst of Caitong Securities, from the current situation, the economic operation has been generally stable this year, and the key areas of risks have also been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. From the perspective of future deployment, first, the positive attitude is unprecedented. The meeting mentioned that the policy will be more active and promising, and on the basis of counter-cyclical adjustment, it emphasized that the intensity should be "extraordinary" to offset "external shocks". We will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. Second, pay more attention to the actual effect of policies, not only to strengthen the forward-looking, targeted and effective regulation at the macro level, but also to promote the effectiveness of landmark reform measures in specific measures. Third, pay more attention to systematicness, emphasize "system integration and coordination", improve the toolbox, lay a good policy "combination boxing" and stabilize expectations.

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